The Holidays are over and it's a new year. A new Administration will be starting in a few days and there's all sorts of speculation about the upcoming year and how it will affect the real estate industry.
During the Holidays, listings classically slow down, because most people want to spend time enjoying the season in lieu of shopping for a home. Sellers often don't want people traipsing through their homes so only highly motivated Sellers and Buyers run to close by the end of the year. Now that it's January, a number of new listings have popped up on the market and buyers are motivated to start shopping again. I already went under contract on 4 properties. The Buyers are definitely there and they're happily shopping.
I will present the year-end stats of the market in the next blog after all of the reports are in, but it appears to me that we are in a market we haven't seen in a long time - a stable market. That means there would be more of a balance between the number of listings to Buyers. Of course, that could readily change due to upcoming political and economic decisions we have not seen yet. Interest rates are expected to remain stable.
One of the greatest challenges Buyers and Sellers have during each market change is to become quickly adaptable, both emotionally and psychologically ready to act on the realities of the changing markets.
Interest rates are expected to remain relatively level in 2025. While we all moan about not having 2.50-3.50%, we realize that was a "one-off" situation due to the global pandemic which created economic havoc. At the turn of the 20th Century mortgages was a little over 5%. After 1930 and the Great Depression, rates were around 4.90%. Between 1946-1956 rates fluctuated between 4.35% and 5.09%. By the end of the 1960's, rates were at 7%. Per Freddie Mac, "the main industry source for mortgage rates — has been keeping records since 1971. Between April 1971 and January 2025, 30-year fixed-rate mortgages averaged 7.73%." (Jan 10, 2025 FHLMC Report). This, of course, includes the 1980's when the average interest rates went up to 12.9% as well as low as 2.50% in the past few years.
There are a variety of financing options in order to keep the monthly payments down such as: 5/1, 7/1 loans where the interest rate is a fixed, lower rate for the first 5 or 7 years. There's also 2/1 temporary buydowns that can offer lower payments. For instance, on a 2/1 Buydown if you currently qualify for 6.50% at the market rate, the 1st year would be 4.5% and the 2nd year would be 5.5% before it goes to 6.50% in the 3rd year. You can refinance out of it if you want when rates go down. Real estate has always been a good, long-term investment and there are viable financing options.
Talk to your lenders about other financing options.
As to the actual listings on the market, there are still multiple offers, but only an average of 2-3 if a property is located in a highly desirable neighborhood and has all of the bells and whistles in upgrades, the listings are usually remaining on the market longer. The average increase over list that I've seen for the middle market is between $20-$30,000, BUT the Sellers have had to adjust the contract price if the appraisal doesn't support the higher value. This is also different from the other market where Buyers were willing to pay considerably higher over the contract price. Now, for the average property, the Buyers will walk.
There have been a number of price drops, because the original listing prices reflected the prior market and not the current one. Also, there are many homes that do not have considerable upgrades and so they are not responding to the Buyers' needs/desires of wanting a remodeled, move-in ready home. There are a number of issues involved, but those are just a few.
Buyers are requesting and receiving their inspection contingencies and the Sellers have been making repairs if indicated in order the close.
This is not a Buyers' market. It's more of a stable market. A Buyers market is when there are too many listings and not enough buyers. That's not the case here. There is still a slowdown on listings, but more are coming up every day. The Buyers are still there and willing to buy, but they are less willing to hand over their money without more value due to the interest rates.
There are a number of real estate agents who, like Sellers, may have not been in the Industry long enough to understand the marketing and evaluation nuances that are required in this market. They may have only experienced the intense Sellers' market with crazy prices, no contingencies and such. Adaptability and understanding the markets, nationally, locally and hyper-locally are key in 2025.
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Jan Allen
(703) 476-2137
Broker/Realtor
Serving Virginia, Maryland & Washington, DC
Jan Allen Homes
of Samson Properties
Web: www.JanAllenHomes.com
Email: Jan@JanAllenHomes.com
VA # 0225097826, VA 022634531
MD # 620724, DC # BR98366121
Samson Properties
Serving Virginia, Washington, DC & Maryland
VA #0225097826 & VA #022603431
DC #BR98366121 & MD #620724
All Rights Reserved I Jan Allen Homes I Samson Properties
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